Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.004667 0.004914 0.005169 0.005452 0.005757 0.006077 0.006439
2025-11-30 0.004187 0.004543 0.004925 0.005369 0.005870 0.006424 0.007084
2025-12-07 0.003884 0.004298 0.004755 0.005301 0.005940 0.006671 0.007577
2025-12-14 0.003686 0.004142 0.004659 0.005291 0.006053 0.006950 0.008101
2025-12-21 0.003438 0.003910 0.004452 0.005130 0.005963 0.006969 0.008295
2025-12-28 0.003318 0.003817 0.004401 0.005145 0.006079 0.007234 0.008801
2026-01-04 0.003236 0.003763 0.004390 0.005202 0.006244 0.007562 0.009403
2026-01-11 0.003119 0.003659 0.004310 0.005165 0.006283 0.007726 0.009790
2026-01-18 0.003025 0.003579 0.004254 0.005155 0.006352 0.007928 0.010236
2026-01-25 0.002926 0.003487 0.004178 0.005112 0.006373 0.008062 0.010591
2026-02-01 0.002895 0.003478 0.004208 0.005207 0.006580 0.008459 0.011348
2026-02-08 0.002813 0.003402 0.004145 0.005175 0.006610 0.008607 0.011742
2026-02-15 0.002745 0.003342 0.004102 0.005170 0.006677 0.008814 0.012244
2026-02-22 0.002653 0.003248 0.004011 0.005093 0.006640 0.008865 0.012505
2026-03-01 0.002573 0.003165 0.003933 0.005030 0.006618 0.008935 0.012798
2026-03-08 0.002517 0.003115 0.003894 0.005021 0.006673 0.009122 0.013292
2026-03-15 0.002413 0.002996 0.003760 0.004871 0.006512 0.008969 0.013207
2026-03-22 0.002373 0.002962 0.003741 0.004885 0.006596 0.009198 0.013784
2026-03-29 0.002349 0.002949 0.003750 0.004938 0.006740 0.009528 0.014562
2026-04-05 0.002297 0.002896 0.003700 0.004904 0.006748 0.009641 0.014958
2026-04-12 0.002256 0.002856 0.003669 0.004895 0.006793 0.009814 0.015476
2026-04-19 0.002206 0.002804 0.003618 0.004855 0.006789 0.009904 0.015844
2026-04-26 0.002200 0.002812 0.003652 0.004943 0.006991 0.010349 0.016929